Hastings United vs Bowers and Pitsea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.4%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.4%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
22.8%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-34%
-24%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
20
2º
19º
18º
16
16º
22º
21º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
21º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
46 | 86 |
1º
|
38.5% | |
|
2º
|
41 | 85 |
2º
|
28% | |
|
3º
|
39 | 77 |
3º
|
24.5% | |
|
6º
|
31 | 72 |
4º
|
14.5% | |
|
4º
|
36 | 71 |
5º
|
11.5% | |
|
5º
|
32 | 70 |
6º
|
11.5% | |
|
13º
|
27 | 68 |
7º
|
15% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 65 |
8º
|
10.5% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 64 |
9º
|
10.5% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 63 |
10º
|
11.5% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 56 |
11º
|
9.5% | |
|
14º
|
27 | 56 |
12º
|
7.5% | |
|
12º
|
28 | 56 |
13º
|
8% | |
|
15º
|
26 | 55 |
14º
|
9% | |
|
16º
|
26 | 54 |
15º
|
7.5% | |
|
17º
|
26 | 52 |
16º
|
15.5% | |
|
11º
|
28 | 52 |
17º
|
10% | |
|
|
18º
|
20 | 42 |
18º
|
14% | |
|
20º
|
19 | 39 |
19º
|
20.5% | |
|
19º
|
19 | 35 |
20º
|
20.5% | |
|
|
21º
|
16 | 32 |
21º
|
23.5% | |
|
22º
|
13 | 32 |
22º
|
40.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
56.5% | 12% |
|
Relegation
|
43.5% | 88% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hastings United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
BIL
1 - 1
HAS
73%
16%
11%
|
33 | 45 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
CHI
2 - 3
HAS
55%
21%
24%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
HAS
0 - 3
DAR
28%
24%
48%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | -2 |
| 26 Nov. 2024 |
HAS
1 - 1
CAR
28%
25%
47%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
HEN
9 - 0
HAS
52%
23%
25%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Bowers and Pitsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2024 |
CHE
1 - 0
BOW
43%
23%
33%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
BOW
0 - 3
CAR
25%
25%
50%
|
32 | 41 | 9 | -2 |
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
BOW
0 - 1
CRA
42%
24%
34%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
HOR
5 - 0
BOW
71%
18%
11%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2024 |
CRA
2 - 0
BOW
75%
16%
9%
|
35 | 47 | 12 | -1 |