Harrogate Town vs Newcastle U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.4%
Win probability
2.77
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.3%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.4%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.6%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.3%
13.8%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
13.8%
8.8%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Harrogate Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
OLD
1 - 2
TOW
33%
25%
41%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
TOW
0 - 0
STE
59%
23%
18%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2021 |
CRA
2 - 2
TOW
38%
27%
35%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
POR
2 - 0
TOW
37%
27%
36%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2021 |
TOW
2 - 2
NEW
43%
26%
31%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Newcastle U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2021 |
SHW
3 - 0
NWC
72%
17%
10%
|
38 | 64 | 26 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2020 |
BOL
3 - 2
NWC
58%
21%
21%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2020 |
CRE
1 - 0
NWC
76%
14%
10%
|
39 | 57 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2020 |
STF
3 - 0
NWC
67%
19%
15%
|
40 | 56 | 16 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2019 |
POR
2 - 1
NWC
63%
20%
18%
|
41 | 53 | 12 | -1 |