Härkingen vs Breitenrain analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.9%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.3%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
3.1%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.9%
18%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18%
71.1%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
12.9%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
21.4%
0-3
9.5%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14%
0-4
5.2%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
7.2%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Härkingen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun. 2010 |
BER
7 - 1
HAR
72%
17%
11%
|
14 | 24 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2010 |
LER
5 - 1
HAR
76%
15%
9%
|
14 | 25 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2010 |
HAR
2 - 4
THU
14%
19%
68%
|
15 | 37 | 22 | -1 |
| 22 May. 2010 |
ESB
3 - 2
HAR
66%
18%
16%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2010 |
HAR
2 - 2
BUM
22%
22%
55%
|
15 | 25 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Breitenrain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2015 |
BRE
0 - 4
STA
49%
25%
26%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2015 |
BRE
1 - 1
FCK
29%
26%
45%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2015 |
YOB
3 - 1
BRE
86%
11%
4%
|
54 | 82 | 28 | -1 |
| 30 May. 2015 |
FCK
3 - 1
BRE
56%
24%
20%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 May. 2015 |
BRE
1 - 0
RAP
63%
21%
16%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | +1 |