Harefield United vs Risborough Rangers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.2%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.5%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.7%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.1%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
38.1%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.3%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+47%
-38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Harefield United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2024 |
HAR
0 - 1
BED
33%
23%
44%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2024 |
HAR
4 - 3
HFC
72%
16%
12%
|
19 | 12 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
HAR
2 - 2
EDT
63%
19%
18%
|
20 | 15 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
HAR
2 - 0
EGH
50%
22%
28%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2024 |
HAR
3 - 2
NOR
23%
21%
56%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Risborough Rangers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2024 |
HOL
4 - 2
RIS
38%
22%
40%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
RIS
1 - 1
BRU
63%
19%
19%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2024 |
WAE
3 - 1
RIS
12%
16%
72%
|
23 | 11 | 12 | -3 |
| 09 Apr. 2024 |
EDT
2 - 3
RIS
23%
20%
58%
|
23 | 16 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
RIS
1 - 3
W&C
75%
15%
11%
|
24 | 15 | 9 | -1 |