Hard vs Wörgl analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.2%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
6%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.2%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.1%
30.7%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2018 |
DOR
1 - 1
HAR
69%
18%
14%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2018 |
STJ
2 - 0
HAR
63%
20%
18%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2018 |
HAR
3 - 1
PIN
57%
21%
22%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
SCH
1 - 0
HAR
69%
18%
13%
|
30 | 40 | 10 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
HAR
1 - 1
ANI
6%
13%
82%
|
30 | 53 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Wörgl
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2018 |
WOR
3 - 2
PIN
63%
18%
19%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2018 |
SCH
3 - 2
WOR
70%
17%
13%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2018 |
WOR
1 - 3
ANI
8%
15%
78%
|
29 | 52 | 23 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
SCR
5 - 3
WOR
71%
16%
14%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2018 |
WOR
1 - 2
KIT
35%
21%
44%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | -2 |