Harbour View vs Waterhouse analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.2%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.1%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.5%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.5%
52.3%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
14.7%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.7%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.2%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
+2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
13
3º
14º
13º
33
2º
8º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
43 | 83 |
1º
|
67.5% | |
|
3º
|
37 | 77 |
2º
|
41% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 70 |
3º
|
21% | |
|
2º
|
37 | 69 |
4º
|
25% | |
|
4º
|
33 | 62 |
5º
|
22% | |
|
|
5º
|
33 | 62 |
6º
|
22.5% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 61 |
7º
|
28% | |
|
12º
|
15 | 47 |
8º
|
40.5% | |
|
8º
|
17 | 43 |
9º
|
28% | |
|
9º
|
17 | 42 |
10º
|
20% | |
|
13º
|
14 | 37 |
11º
|
18.5% | |
|
11º
|
16 | 35 |
12º
|
19.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
13 | 33 |
13º
|
23% | |
|
10º
|
16 | 29 |
14º
|
49.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 5% |
|
Next round
|
0% | 60% |
|
Mid-table
|
58.5% | 35% |
|
Relegation
|
41.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Harbour View
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
POR
4 - 0
HAR
57%
26%
17%
|
53 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
HAR
1 - 1
LIO
40%
27%
33%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2025 |
MOL
3 - 1
HAR
48%
24%
29%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Dec. 2024 |
HAR
0 - 1
MON
27%
27%
46%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
CMF
1 - 0
HAR
42%
25%
33%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Waterhouse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
VER
0 - 3
WAT
20%
26%
54%
|
64 | 50 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
WAT
0 - 1
TRI
39%
27%
35%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 2025 |
CAV
2 - 2
WAT
55%
25%
20%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2024 |
WAT
0 - 3
MPA
31%
27%
42%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
RUF
1 - 1
WAT
21%
25%
54%
|
66 | 12 | 54 | 0 |