Hapoel Jerusalén vs Hapoel Beer Sheva analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.7%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
31.1%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+30%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
20
8º
14º
10º
44
1º
8º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
44 | 56 |
1º
|
72.5% | |
|
2º
|
41 | 52 |
2º
|
46.5% | |
|
3º
|
37 | 48 |
3º
|
41.5% | |
|
4º
|
36 | 47 |
4º
|
47% | |
|
5º
|
30 | 40 |
5º
|
59% | |
|
7º
|
23 | 34 |
6º
|
26.5% | |
|
8º
|
23 | 34 |
7º
|
15% | |
|
9º
|
21 | 33 |
8º
|
17% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 32 |
9º
|
18.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
20 | 28 |
10º
|
17.5% | |
|
11º
|
20 | 28 |
11º
|
19.5% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 27 |
12º
|
29% | |
|
13º
|
13 | 21 |
13º
|
40% | |
|
14º
|
13 | 20 |
14º
|
53.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
4% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
96% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hapoel Jerusalén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
MPT
2 - 0
HAP
42%
27%
31%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2025 |
MBR
0 - 0
HAP
39%
27%
34%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2025 |
HAP
1 - 0
HHA
40%
28%
33%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Dec. 2024 |
MTA
3 - 0
HAP
54%
23%
22%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2024 |
HEH
1 - 1
HAP
37%
27%
36%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Hapoel Beer Sheva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2025 |
HBS
6 - 0
HEH
62%
21%
17%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
HHA
0 - 1
HBS
46%
26%
28%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2025 |
HEH
1 - 2
HBS
37%
27%
37%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2025 |
HBS
2 - 2
MTA
43%
25%
32%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2024 |
MSD
0 - 4
HBS
24%
24%
52%
|
80 | 63 | 17 | 0 |