Hammarby TFF vs Umeå analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.5%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
25%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
32.5%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
+53%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
3º
14º
5º
55
1º
2º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
53 | 66 |
1º
|
32% | |
|
|
1º
|
55 | 66 |
2º
|
33% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 65 |
3º
|
46.5% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 47 |
4º
|
27.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
35 | 46 |
5º
|
21% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 45 |
6º
|
17.5% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 44 |
7º
|
26% | |
|
5º
|
36 | 44 |
8º
|
15% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 37 |
9º
|
26.5% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 35 |
10º
|
21% | |
|
13º
|
22 | 33 |
11º
|
21% | |
|
11º
|
24 | 32 |
12º
|
20% | |
|
12º
|
23 | 30 |
13º
|
31.5% | |
|
14º
|
20 | 27 |
14º
|
27% | |
|
15º
|
19 | 26 |
15º
|
29.5% | |
|
16º
|
18 | 25 |
16º
|
44.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 48.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 33% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 18.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hammarby TFF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2024 |
TAB
0 - 4
HTF
41%
26%
33%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2024 |
AFC
0 - 1
HTF
57%
23%
20%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
HTF
3 - 0
FRI
67%
19%
14%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
KAL
2 - 2
HTF
42%
26%
32%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
HTF
5 - 0
ASS
32%
24%
43%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | +2 |
Matches
Umeå
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2024 |
UME
4 - 2
IFS
54%
22%
24%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
UME
2 - 1
FBK
62%
21%
17%
|
54 | 42 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
STO
1 - 2
UME
56%
24%
20%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
TAB
2 - 2
UME
37%
25%
38%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
UME
5 - 2
KAR
45%
26%
29%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | +2 |