Scottish Championship round 16

Hamilton Academical vs Dunfermline Athletic FC analysis

Hamilton Academical Dunfermline Athletic FC
54 ELO 55
3.4% Tilt 0.4%
1698º General ELO ranking 1915º
19º Country ELO ranking 23º
ELO win probability
42.7%
Hamilton Academical
25.7%
Draw
31.6%
Dunfermline Athletic FC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.7%
Win probability
Hamilton Academical
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
31.6%
Win probability
Dunfermline Athletic FC
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Hamilton Academical
-10%
+2%
Dunfermline Athletic FC

ELO progression

Hamilton Academical
Dunfermline Athletic FC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Hamilton Academical
Hamilton Academical
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
30 Nov. 2021
HAM
Hamilton Academical
2 - 3
Kilmarnock
KIL
24%
26%
50%
54 68 14 0
27 Nov. 2021
AUC
Auchinleck Talbot
1 - 0
Hamilton Academical
HAM
32%
21%
47%
55 49 6 -1
20 Nov. 2021
PAR
Partick Thistle
1 - 0
Hamilton Academical
HAM
58%
23%
19%
55 62 7 0
13 Nov. 2021
HAM
Hamilton Academical
0 - 3
Raith Rovers
RAI
30%
27%
43%
56 64 8 -1
06 Nov. 2021
HAM
Hamilton Academical
1 - 1
Arbroath
ARB
34%
27%
39%
56 61 5 0

Matches

Dunfermline Athletic FC
Dunfermline Athletic FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Nov. 2021
PAR
Partick Thistle
1 - 0
Dunfermline Athletic FC
DUN
58%
22%
20%
56 62 6 0
20 Nov. 2021
DUN
Dunfermline Athletic FC
3 - 0
Ayr United
AYR
44%
25%
31%
55 55 0 +1
13 Nov. 2021
ICT
Inverness CT
1 - 2
Dunfermline Athletic FC
DUN
62%
23%
15%
54 64 10 +1
06 Nov. 2021
DUN
Dunfermline Athletic FC
1 - 3
Greenock Morton
GRE
47%
27%
25%
55 56 1 -1
30 Oct. 2021
ARB
Arbroath
4 - 2
Dunfermline Athletic FC
DUN
53%
25%
22%
56 61 5 -1