Hamburger SV vs Dessau 05 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.5%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.4%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
18%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
18%
18.5%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
11%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hamburger SV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 1942 |
MIB
0 - 2
HSV
19%
20%
61%
|
76 | 15 | 61 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 1940 |
WAL
6 - 2
HSV
23%
21%
55%
|
77 | 39 | 38 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 1939 |
HSV
2 - 0
SWH
86%
9%
5%
|
77 | 47 | 30 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1939 |
HSV
11 - 2
SPH
88%
8%
4%
|
77 | 7 | 70 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1935 |
HSV
1 - 4
F95
72%
16%
13%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Dessau 05
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 1942 |
SVD
5 - 3
SSC
88%
8%
4%
|
74 | 8 | 66 | 0 |