Bundesliga round 1

Hamburger SV vs Schalke 04 analysis

Hamburger SV Schalke 04
84 ELO 82
4.7% Tilt 3.8%
244º General ELO ranking 491º
19º Country ELO ranking 30º
ELO win probability
57%
Hamburger SV
22.6%
Draw
20.4%
Schalke 04

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57%
Win probability
Hamburger SV
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.4%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
20.4%
Win probability
Schalke 04
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Hamburger SV
+4%
-12%
Schalke 04

ELO progression

Hamburger SV
Schalke 04
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Hamburger SV
Hamburger SV
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Aug. 1975
HSV
Hamburger SV
4 - 0
Köln
KOL
46%
24%
31%
83 86 3 0
14 Jun. 1975
BYM
Bayern München
0 - 1
Hamburger SV
HSV
74%
16%
11%
83 88 5 0
07 Jun. 1975
HSV
Hamburger SV
2 - 0
Werder Bremen
BRE
64%
20%
16%
82 76 6 +1
31 May. 1975
F95
Fortuna Düsseldorf
0 - 0
Hamburger SV
HSV
52%
24%
25%
82 82 0 0
24 May. 1975
EBT
Eintracht Braunschweig
1 - 2
Hamburger SV
HSV
49%
24%
27%
82 79 3 0

Matches

Schalke 04
Schalke 04
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 Aug. 1975
VFB
VfB Oldenburg
0 - 6
Schalke 04
S04
21%
20%
60%
83 54 29 0
14 Jun. 1975
S04
Schalke 04
3 - 0
Tennis Borussia
TEN
73%
16%
11%
83 64 19 0
07 Jun. 1975
EIN
Eintracht Frankfurt
2 - 1
Schalke 04
S04
68%
18%
14%
82 85 3 +1
31 May. 1975
S04
Schalke 04
1 - 3
B. Mönchengladbach
MON
24%
24%
52%
82 90 8 0
24 May. 1975
BRE
Werder Bremen
0 - 1
Schalke 04
S04
46%
25%
29%
82 76 6 0