Inter-Cities Fairs Cup 1/32
Global 8-1
Hamburger SV vs KAA Gent analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.7%
Win probability
2.82
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
4.5%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
8.9%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.6%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
8%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.1%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
15.5%
13.8%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hamburger SV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 1970 |
HSV
3 - 2
ARB
88%
9%
3%
|
82 | 58 | 24 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1970 |
HAN
0 - 3
HSV
47%
25%
29%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 1970 |
GEN
0 - 1
HSV
38%
23%
39%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1970 |
HSV
2 - 2
MON
43%
25%
32%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 1970 |
EIN
0 - 0
HSV
57%
23%
21%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
KAA Gent
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 1970 |
GEN
4 - 0
ANT
62%
23%
15%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1970 |
SDL
3 - 0
GEN
74%
17%
9%
|
73 | 87 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1970 |
GEN
0 - 1
HSV
38%
23%
39%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | -2 |
| 25 Apr. 1970 |
GEN
3 - 1
AND
23%
25%
52%
|
74 | 87 | 13 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 1970 |
MOL
1 - 2
GEN
47%
26%
27%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | +1 |