Bundesliga round 22

Hamburger SV vs Bayern München analysis

Hamburger SV Bayern München
84 ELO 89
1.8% Tilt 1.1%
122º General ELO ranking
17º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
36.1%
Hamburger SV
26.3%
Draw
37.6%
Bayern München

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.1%
Win probability
Hamburger SV
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.4%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
37.6%
Win probability
Bayern München
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Hamburger SV
+3%
-2%
Bayern München

ELO progression

Hamburger SV
Bayern München
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Hamburger SV
Hamburger SV
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 Mar. 1987
EIN
Eintracht Frankfurt
1 - 3
Hamburger SV
HSV
33%
27%
40%
84 73 11 0
14 Mar. 1987
HSV
Hamburger SV
1 - 1
VfL Bochum
RTV
72%
17%
10%
84 75 9 0
28 Feb. 1987
BRE
Werder Bremen
2 - 1
Hamburger SV
HSV
58%
22%
21%
84 84 0 0
21 Feb. 1987
HSV
Hamburger SV
3 - 1
B. Mönchengladbach
MON
49%
24%
28%
84 85 1 0
06 Dec. 1986
HSV
Hamburger SV
2 - 0
Kaiserslautern
KAI
62%
21%
18%
84 79 5 0

Matches

Bayern München
Bayern München
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 Mar. 1987
BYM
Bayern München
4 - 0
Nürnberg
FCN
81%
13%
7%
89 77 12 0
18 Mar. 1987
AND
Anderlecht
2 - 2
Bayern München
BYM
52%
24%
24%
89 87 2 0
14 Mar. 1987
KOL
Köln
1 - 1
Bayern München
BYM
28%
26%
46%
89 81 8 0
04 Mar. 1987
BYM
Bayern München
5 - 0
Anderlecht
AND
58%
22%
20%
88 87 1 +1
28 Feb. 1987
BYM
Bayern München
3 - 0
Fortuna Düsseldorf
F95
80%
13%
8%
88 72 16 0