Cup Winners Cup Final

Hamburger SV vs Anderlecht analysis

Hamburger SV Anderlecht
87 ELO 87
6.5% Tilt -1.6%
123º General ELO ranking 109º
17º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
60.8%
Hamburger SV
19.1%
Draw
20%
Anderlecht

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.8%
Win probability
Hamburger SV
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.9%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8%
2-2
6%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
19.1%
20%
Win probability
Anderlecht
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Hamburger SV
-2%
+6%
Anderlecht

ELO progression

Hamburger SV
Anderlecht
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Hamburger SV
Hamburger SV
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 May. 1977
HSV
Hamburger SV
2 - 0
MSV Duisburg
MSV
65%
19%
16%
86 82 4 0
23 Apr. 1977
MON
B. Mönchengladbach
0 - 0
Hamburger SV
HSV
63%
21%
16%
86 89 3 0
20 Apr. 1977
HSV
Hamburger SV
3 - 0
Atlético
ATM
57%
24%
20%
86 88 2 0
16 Apr. 1977
HSV
Hamburger SV
2 - 1
Karlsruher SC
KSC
73%
16%
11%
86 73 13 0
12 Apr. 1977
SAA
1. FC Saarbrücken
3 - 2
Hamburger SV
HSV
32%
27%
41%
86 74 12 0

Matches

Anderlecht
Anderlecht
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 May. 1977
AND
Anderlecht
2 - 0
KSV Waregem
KSV
74%
16%
10%
87 78 9 0
01 May. 1977
LIE
Lierse SK
2 - 3
Anderlecht
AND
29%
26%
46%
87 76 11 0
23 Apr. 1977
AND
Anderlecht
1 - 0
K Beerschot VAC
BEE
73%
16%
10%
87 78 9 0
20 Apr. 1977
AND
Anderlecht
2 - 0
Napoli
NAP
70%
19%
11%
87 84 3 0
16 Apr. 1977
BRU
Club Brugge
2 - 0
Anderlecht
AND
53%
23%
24%
87 87 0 0