Regionalliga round 21

Hamburger SV II vs Werder Bremen II analysis

 Hamburger SV II Werder Bremen II
34 ELO 31
-0.2% Tilt 3.7%
3391º General ELO ranking 2884º
94º Country ELO ranking 79º
ELO win probability
55%
Hamburger SV II
23.7%
Draw
21.3%
Werder Bremen II

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55%
Win probability
 Hamburger SV II
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
21.3%
Win probability
Werder Bremen II
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
 Hamburger SV II
-6%
+19%
Werder Bremen II

ELO progression

 Hamburger SV II
Werder Bremen II
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Hamburger SV II
 Hamburger SV II
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 Feb. 1996
HOL
Holstein Kiel
2 - 2
 Hamburger SV II
HAM
52%
24%
25%
33 28 5 0
16 Dec. 1995
HAM
 Hamburger SV II
2 - 2
Cloppenburg
CLO
60%
22%
18%
33 30 3 0
09 Dec. 1995
EIN
Eintracht Norderstedt
0 - 1
 Hamburger SV II
HAM
48%
25%
27%
32 31 1 +1
03 Dec. 1995
STP
St. Pauli II
3 - 2
 Hamburger SV II
HAM
57%
23%
21%
33 35 2 -1
18 Nov. 1995
HAM
 Hamburger SV II
0 - 0
Hamburg 93
HAM
65%
21%
15%
33 28 5 0

Matches

Werder Bremen II
Werder Bremen II
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 Dec. 1995
WER
Werder Bremen II
0 - 0
BSV Kickers Emden
BSV
38%
27%
35%
32 42 10 0
02 Dec. 1995
WER
Werder Bremen II
0 - 0
VfB Oldenburg
VFB
31%
26%
44%
31 41 10 +1
29 Nov. 1995
CEL
TuS Celle
0 - 2
Werder Bremen II
WER
73%
17%
10%
30 42 12 +1
19 Nov. 1995
ADF
Atlas Delmenhorst
2 - 2
Werder Bremen II
WER
59%
22%
19%
29 32 3 +1
12 Nov. 1995
WER
Werder Bremen II
0 - 2
Holstein Kiel
HOL
52%
24%
24%
31 31 0 -2