Halvestorf-Herkendorf vs Bavenstedt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.9%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.8%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.2%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
16.9%
71.2%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.8%
0-3
8.7%
1-4
4.6%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.4%
0-4
5.2%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
7.9%
0-5
2.5%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3.6%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+49%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Halvestorf-Herkendorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
TGA
4 - 3
HAL
27%
21%
52%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2023 |
HAL
2 - 1
HSC
7%
13%
80%
|
10 | 27 | 17 | +3 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
HAL
2 - 0
HBT
6%
12%
83%
|
7 | 23 | 16 | +3 |
Matches
Bavenstedt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
BAV
3 - 1
TSW
76%
15%
9%
|
25 | 14 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2023 |
TUS
1 - 2
BAV
41%
24%
36%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
FCL
1 - 0
BAV
12%
17%
71%
|
25 | 12 | 13 | -1 |
| 17 Jun. 2023 |
FCE
4 - 0
BAV
41%
23%
36%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Jun. 2023 |
BAV
2 - 2
NDO
86%
10%
4%
|
26 | 8 | 18 | 0 |