Regionalliga Nordost round 18

Hallescher FC vs Chemnitzer analysis

Hallescher FC Chemnitzer
64 ELO 55
-1.1% Tilt 10.6%
1678º General ELO ranking 2711º
60º Country ELO ranking 103º
ELO win probability
63.3%
Hallescher FC
21.5%
Draw
15.2%
Chemnitzer

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.3%
Win probability
Hallescher FC
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
12%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
15.2%
Win probability
Chemnitzer
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Hallescher FC
+12%
+12%
Chemnitzer

Points and table prediction

Hallescher FC
Their league position
Chemnitzer
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
11º
23
17º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Lokomotive Leipzig
44
71
59%
Hallescher FC
41
68
43%
FC Carl Zeiss Jena
32
62
27.5%
BFC Dynamo
29
56
17.5%
Altglienicke
25
56
11%
Rot-Weiss Erfurt
33
54
20.5%
Zwickau
32
54
14%
Greifswalder
29
53
12.5%
Hertha BSC II
31
50
12%
Chemnitzer
11º
23
46
10º
13%
Viktoria Berlin
12º
22
44
11º
15%
SV Babelsberg 03
10º
25
43
12º
26%
Meuselwitz
13º
22
41
13º
23%
Hertha Zehlendorf
15º
16
34
14º
20.5%
Chemie Leipzig
14º
19
32
15º
22.5%
Luckenwalde
16º
16
28
16º
24%
VFC Plauen
17º
15
27
17º
23%
Eilenburg
18º
14
26
18º
40%
Expected probabilities
Hallescher FC
Chemnitzer
Promotion play-offs
32.5% 0%
Mid-table
67.5% 100%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Hallescher FC
Chemnitzer
Altglienicke
Zwickau
Viktoria Berlin
FC Carl Zeiss Jena
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Hallescher FC
Hallescher FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
30 Nov. 2024
HAL
Hallescher FC
1 - 0
Greifswalder
GRE
58%
23%
19%
64 57 7 0
24 Nov. 2024
HZE
Hertha Zehlendorf
1 - 2
Hallescher FC
HAL
19%
23%
58%
63 49 14 +1
10 Nov. 2024
HAL
Hallescher FC
2 - 0
BFC Dynamo
BFC
53%
24%
23%
62 58 4 +1
02 Nov. 2024
CHL
Chemie Leipzig
1 - 1
Hallescher FC
HAL
16%
23%
62%
62 50 12 0
26 Oct. 2024
HAL
Hallescher FC
2 - 1
Meuselwitz
MEU
68%
20%
12%
62 50 12 0

Matches

Chemnitzer
Chemnitzer
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 Nov. 2024
CHE
Chemnitzer
1 - 0
Eilenburg
EIL
66%
21%
14%
53 43 10 0
08 Nov. 2024
LOK
Lokomotive Leipzig
0 - 2
Chemnitzer
CHE
58%
24%
18%
51 60 9 +2
01 Nov. 2024
CHE
Chemnitzer
1 - 0
Altglienicke
ALT
21%
24%
55%
50 59 9 +1
27 Oct. 2024
ERF
Rot-Weiss Erfurt
0 - 0
Chemnitzer
CHE
57%
22%
21%
50 53 3 0
19 Oct. 2024
CHE
Chemnitzer
0 - 1
VFC Plauen
PLA
49%
26%
25%
51 47 4 -1