Regionalliga Nordost round 18

Hallescher FC vs Chemnitzer analysis

Hallescher FC Chemnitzer
64 ELO 55
-1.1% Tilt 10.6%
2331º General ELO ranking 4042º
69º Country ELO ranking 124º
ELO win probability
63.3%
Hallescher FC
21.5%
Draw
15.2%
Chemnitzer

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.3%
Win probability
Hallescher FC
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
12%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
15.2%
Win probability
Chemnitzer
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Hallescher FC
+6%
+15%
Chemnitzer

Points and table prediction

Hallescher FC
Their league position
Chemnitzer
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
11º
23
17º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Lokomotive Leipzig
43
71
71.5%
Hallescher FC
35
66
44%
FC Carl Zeiss Jena
31
62
35.5%
Zwickau
32
56
14.5%
Altglienicke
24
55
12%
BFC Dynamo
26
54
13.5%
Rot-Weiss Erfurt
30
54
11%
Hertha BSC II
28
50
14.5%
Viktoria Berlin
13º
21
49
9.5%
Greifswalder
10º
22
47
10º
8.5%
Chemnitzer
23
46
11º
18%
SV Babelsberg 03
11º
22
44
12º
16.5%
Meuselwitz
12º
22
41
13º
15.5%
Hertha Zehlendorf
15º
16
35
14º
17%
Chemie Leipzig
14º
19
35
15º
21.5%
VFC Plauen
16º
15
30
16º
25%
Eilenburg
17º
14
26
17º
27.5%
Luckenwalde
18º
12
24
18º
49.5%
Expected probabilities
Hallescher FC
Chemnitzer
Promotion play-offs
17.5% 0%
Mid-table
82.5% 100%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Hallescher FC
Chemnitzer
Rot-Weiss Erfurt
Zwickau
Viktoria Berlin
FC Carl Zeiss Jena
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Hallescher FC
Hallescher FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
30 Nov. 2024
HAL
Hallescher FC
1 - 0
Greifswalder
GRE
58%
23%
19%
63 56 7 0
24 Nov. 2024
HZE
Hertha Zehlendorf
1 - 2
Hallescher FC
HAL
19%
23%
58%
63 49 14 0
10 Nov. 2024
HAL
Hallescher FC
2 - 0
BFC Dynamo
BFC
53%
24%
23%
62 57 5 +1
02 Nov. 2024
CHL
Chemie Leipzig
1 - 1
Hallescher FC
HAL
16%
23%
62%
62 49 13 0
26 Oct. 2024
HAL
Hallescher FC
2 - 1
Meuselwitz
MEU
68%
20%
12%
62 49 13 0

Matches

Chemnitzer
Chemnitzer
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 Nov. 2024
CHE
Chemnitzer
1 - 0
Eilenburg
EIL
66%
21%
14%
53 42 11 0
08 Nov. 2024
LOK
Lokomotive Leipzig
0 - 2
Chemnitzer
CHE
58%
24%
18%
51 60 9 +2
01 Nov. 2024
CHE
Chemnitzer
1 - 0
Altglienicke
ALT
21%
24%
55%
49 59 10 +2
27 Oct. 2024
ERF
Rot-Weiss Erfurt
0 - 0
Chemnitzer
CHE
57%
22%
21%
49 53 4 0
19 Oct. 2024
CHE
Chemnitzer
0 - 1
VFC Plauen
PLA
49%
26%
25%
50 47 3 -1