Halcones vs Malacateco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.9%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.5%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
20.6%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Halcones
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
CON
1 - 0
HAL
44%
27%
29%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
HAL
2 - 2
CHI
57%
23%
20%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2012 |
RET
1 - 0
HAL
41%
26%
32%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
HAL
3 - 3
MUN
59%
23%
18%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
LEO
2 - 1
HAL
50%
25%
25%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Malacateco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
TOR
3 - 3
ZAC
55%
23%
22%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
CON
2 - 1
TOR
42%
28%
31%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2012 |
TOR
1 - 1
DEP
56%
24%
20%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
TOR
0 - 0
CHI
52%
25%
23%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
HER
3 - 1
TOR
51%
25%
24%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |