Apertura Guatemala Quarter-finals
Global 4-6
Halcones vs Heredia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.3%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
23.5%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Halcones
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
DEP
2 - 0
HAL
50%
25%
25%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
HAL
1 - 0
LEO
59%
23%
18%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2012 |
MUN
0 - 0
HAL
52%
24%
23%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
HAL
1 - 0
CHI
56%
23%
21%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2012 |
UNI
1 - 0
HAL
43%
26%
31%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Heredia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
LEO
2 - 1
HER
52%
24%
24%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2012 |
CHI
1 - 0
HER
48%
25%
27%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
HER
2 - 2
MUN
55%
24%
22%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
HER
2 - 1
UNI
59%
22%
19%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2012 |
HER
1 - 0
COM
56%
24%
20%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |