Halcones de Zapopan vs Montañeses analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.3%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.3%
1-0
5%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.5%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.1%
61.5%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.8%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.9%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
8º
17º
14º
55
6º
18º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
77 | 80 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
64 | 67 |
2º
|
94% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 63 |
3º
|
94% | |
|
5º
|
55 | 58 |
4º
|
15% | |
|
6º
|
55 | 58 |
5º
|
29% | |
|
|
7º
|
55 | 58 |
6º
|
16% | |
|
4º
|
56 | 56 |
7º
|
20% | |
|
8º
|
53 | 56 |
8º
|
44% | |
|
9º
|
52 | 55 |
9º
|
73.5% | |
|
10º
|
47 | 50 |
10º
|
75.5% | |
|
11º
|
46 | 49 |
11º
|
75.5% | |
|
12º
|
36 | 39 |
12º
|
72% | |
|
13º
|
36 | 37 |
13º
|
35.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
33 | 36 |
14º
|
39.5% | |
|
17º
|
14 | 32 |
15º
|
34% | |
|
15º
|
28 | 31 |
16º
|
59% | |
|
16º
|
22 | 22 |
17º
|
89.5% | |
|
18º
|
9 | 9 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 93% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 7% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Halcones de Zapopan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2023 |
ESC
2 - 0
HDZ
70%
18%
12%
|
31 | 43 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2023 |
HDZ
0 - 0
CAF
13%
19%
67%
|
31 | 60 | 29 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
RVC
3 - 0
HDZ
13%
18%
69%
|
34 | 15 | 19 | -3 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
HDZ
0 - 1
INT
52%
21%
27%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
ADP
1 - 1
HDZ
20%
20%
60%
|
35 | 21 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Montañeses
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
MON
2 - 1
CAS
78%
15%
7%
|
47 | 18 | 29 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2023 |
LUL
2 - 1
MON
23%
23%
54%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
MON
1 - 1
TAM
24%
27%
49%
|
48 | 64 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
REB
1 - 1
MON
58%
22%
20%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
ESC
1 - 1
MON
35%
24%
41%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |