Europa League Semi-finals
Global 2-2
HNK Hajduk Split vs Tottenham Hotspur analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.8%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.4%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
27.9%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.1%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HNK Hajduk Split
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 1984 |
HKS
2 - 0
SPA
60%
21%
19%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1984 |
SPA
1 - 0
HKS
63%
19%
18%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1983 |
HKS
2 - 0
RAD
96%
2%
1%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1983 |
RAD
0 - 2
HKS
45%
25%
30%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 1983 |
HKS
3 - 0
BUD
81%
11%
8%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Tottenham Hotspur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 1984 |
SUN
1 - 1
TOT
32%
26%
41%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1984 |
TOT
1 - 0
WOL
72%
17%
11%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1984 |
COV
2 - 4
TOT
39%
26%
35%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1984 |
AUS
2 - 2
TOT
51%
24%
25%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1984 |
TOT
0 - 1
WBA
71%
18%
11%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |