HNK Hajduk Split vs Dinamo Zagreb analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
31.3%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
1º
4º
2º
32
1º
3º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
39 | 67 |
1º
|
42.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
37 | 65 |
2º
|
25.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
32 | 63 |
3º
|
31.5% | |
|
4º
|
30 | 58 |
4º
|
36.5% | |
|
5º
|
30 | 51 |
5º
|
43% | |
|
8º
|
19 | 46 |
6º
|
44% | |
|
6º
|
22 | 38 |
7º
|
34% | |
|
7º
|
20 | 36 |
8º
|
23.5% | |
|
10º
|
17 | 33 |
9º
|
28% | |
|
9º
|
18 | 33 |
10º
|
44% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
31.5% | 21% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
47.5% | 63.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
21% | 15.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HNK Hajduk Split
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
OSI
2 - 2
HKS
40%
27%
32%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
HKS
1 - 1
IST
71%
18%
10%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
NKV
1 - 0
HKS
28%
27%
45%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2024 |
MZL
0 - 3
HKS
17%
23%
61%
|
84 | 59 | 25 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
HKS
2 - 1
LOK
56%
23%
21%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Dinamo Zagreb
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2024 |
DZG
0 - 3
BVB
11%
17%
72%
|
83 | 96 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
DZG
0 - 0
RIJ
54%
23%
23%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
HNG
2 - 2
DZG
19%
24%
57%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2024 |
SBR
1 - 4
DZG
38%
24%
38%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2024 |
HNS
0 - 4
DZG
20%
24%
56%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | 0 |