Hagen Ahrensburg vs VfB Lübeck II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.1%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.8%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.4%
69.6%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.4%
0-3
8.2%
1-4
4.6%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
13.9%
0-4
4.9%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
7.5%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3.4%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-50%
-63%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hagen Ahrensburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
HAR
1 - 2
HAG
42%
23%
34%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
HAG
1 - 1
ALT
46%
23%
31%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
SCH
7 - 5
HAG
45%
23%
32%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
HAG
1 - 3
EIC
14%
20%
67%
|
15 | 33 | 18 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
PRE
4 - 1
HAG
68%
18%
14%
|
15 | 21 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
VfB Lübeck II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
DOR
0 - 4
LUB
16%
19%
65%
|
24 | 15 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
LUB
3 - 0
HEI
56%
21%
23%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
LUB
2 - 2
TUR
85%
10%
5%
|
24 | 13 | 11 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
HAR
2 - 0
LUB
7%
14%
79%
|
25 | 8 | 17 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2012 |
LUB
1 - 3
ALT
85%
10%
6%
|
26 | 15 | 11 | -1 |