HFC Haarlem vs Excelsior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.7%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.1%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.6%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
58.7%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.7%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.9%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.1%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HFC Haarlem
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2002 |
FCE
2 - 1
HFC
58%
22%
20%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2002 |
ZWO
1 - 0
HFC
76%
15%
9%
|
57 | 75 | 18 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2002 |
HFC
3 - 0
FCO
63%
20%
16%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2002 |
HFC
0 - 1
BVV
49%
24%
27%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2002 |
RBC
2 - 0
HFC
57%
22%
22%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2002 |
EXC
3 - 0
BVO
73%
16%
11%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2002 |
FCD
0 - 2
EXC
28%
23%
50%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2002 |
EXC
1 - 1
GAE
78%
14%
8%
|
73 | 57 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2002 |
VVV
1 - 6
EXC
22%
22%
56%
|
73 | 54 | 19 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2002 |
EXC
2 - 2
VOL
75%
15%
10%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | 0 |