Guingamp vs Nice analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.8%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
15.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.3%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
12%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
26.4%
19.7%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guingamp
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 1996 |
NÎM
1 - 0
GUI
34%
26%
39%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1996 |
MON
0 - 0
GUI
72%
18%
10%
|
80 | 89 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1996 |
GUI
2 - 1
BAS
41%
28%
31%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 1996 |
GUI
1 - 0
REN
44%
29%
27%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1996 |
NAN
1 - 1
GUI
68%
20%
12%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 1996 |
NIC
2 - 2
CAE
49%
24%
26%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1996 |
BAS
1 - 0
NIC
58%
24%
19%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1996 |
NIC
3 - 1
REN
41%
28%
31%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 1996 |
MET
1 - 0
NIC
68%
22%
11%
|
72 | 85 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1996 |
NIC
0 - 3
LHA
39%
27%
34%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | -1 |