Guingamp vs Montpellier analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.6%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.5%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
43.7%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guingamp
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 1999 |
NÎM
2 - 0
GUI
37%
27%
35%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1999 |
GUI
2 - 2
STL
61%
25%
15%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1999 |
LUS
1 - 3
GUI
40%
27%
33%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 1999 |
LIL
2 - 0
GUI
48%
26%
26%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 1999 |
GUI
1 - 2
SOC
48%
27%
25%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Montpellier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 1999 |
MON
1 - 0
MPL
68%
19%
13%
|
82 | 91 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1999 |
MPL
1 - 1
STR
53%
25%
23%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1999 |
GIR
2 - 0
MPL
61%
21%
18%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 1999 |
MPL
0 - 1
PSG
40%
26%
34%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1999 |
MET
2 - 2
MPL
50%
25%
25%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |