Guingamp vs Amiens SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.3%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.7%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
26.6%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
1º
11º
4º
29
2º
13º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
43 | 69 |
1º
|
72% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 64 |
2º
|
36% | |
|
3º
|
38 | 62 |
3º
|
25.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
35 | 56 |
4º
|
20.5% | |
|
4º
|
36 | 54 |
5º
|
19.5% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 53 |
6º
|
15.5% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 51 |
7º
|
15% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 47 |
8º
|
10.5% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 45 |
9º
|
12.5% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 45 |
10º
|
15.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
29 | 44 |
11º
|
12% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 42 |
12º
|
13% | |
|
13º
|
24 | 42 |
13º
|
13.5% | |
|
15º
|
23 | 41 |
14º
|
17% | |
|
16º
|
22 | 40 |
15º
|
16% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 36 |
16º
|
26.5% | |
|
18º
|
15 | 30 |
17º
|
28% | |
|
17º
|
18 | 30 |
18º
|
40.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
9.5% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
57% | 3.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
33.5% | 90% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 1.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guingamp
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2024 |
SEN
0 - 5
GUI
3%
8%
89%
|
74 | 7 | 67 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
LOR
3 - 1
GUI
58%
23%
19%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
GUI
3 - 0
GRE
51%
26%
23%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2024 |
GUI
1 - 0
AJA
59%
24%
18%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2024 |
MET
1 - 0
GUI
56%
24%
20%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Amiens SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2024 |
FLE
1 - 1
AMI
20%
22%
59%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2024 |
AMI
1 - 1
FCM
52%
27%
22%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2024 |
DUN
3 - 1
AMI
38%
26%
36%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2024 |
AMI
0 - 0
PFC
29%
28%
43%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2024 |
PAU
0 - 2
AMI
45%
25%
29%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | +1 |