Guingamp II vs Union Sportive Fougères analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.6%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.3%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.2%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.1%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.2%
8.2%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
-39%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
1º
8º
2º
13
5º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
30 | 54 |
1º
|
50.5% | |
|
|
1º
|
30 | 53 |
2º
|
38% | |
|
3º
|
26 | 46 |
3º
|
26.5% | |
|
7º
|
16 | 43 |
4º
|
26% | |
|
4º
|
23 | 43 |
5º
|
23.5% | |
|
5º
|
19 | 41 |
6º
|
24% | |
|
6º
|
18 | 33 |
7º
|
23.5% | |
|
10º
|
14 | 32 |
8º
|
18% | |
|
8º
|
16 | 31 |
9º
|
17.5% | |
|
12º
|
14 | 28 |
10º
|
21.5% | |
|
11º
|
14 | 26 |
11º
|
18.5% | |
|
14º
|
12 | 26 |
12º
|
18.5% | |
|
9º
|
14 | 25 |
13º
|
19% | |
|
|
13º
|
13 | 25 |
14º
|
18% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
39.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
60.5% | 22.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 11.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 66% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guingamp II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
PLA
0 - 1
GUI
17%
20%
63%
|
44 | 26 | 18 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
GUI
2 - 0
ERG
77%
14%
10%
|
43 | 25 | 18 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
LOR
1 - 0
GUI
55%
23%
22%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
GUI
1 - 1
SAI
78%
15%
7%
|
44 | 29 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
LAN
0 - 2
GUI
16%
22%
62%
|
43 | 29 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Union Sportive Fougères
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
USF
1 - 3
CES
49%
21%
30%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
AFV
1 - 1
USF
75%
16%
9%
|
27 | 44 | 17 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
USF
1 - 5
PON
42%
23%
35%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | -2 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
VAN
2 - 0
USF
66%
18%
16%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
FLE
4 - 2
USF
39%
22%
39%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | -2 |