National 3 Grupo A round 15

Guingamp II vs Union Sportive Fougères analysis

Guingamp II Union Sportive Fougères
33 ELO 30
8% Tilt 3.7%
4199º General ELO ranking 6567º
109º Country ELO ranking 303º
ELO win probability
58.7%
Guingamp II
19.6%
Draw
21.7%
Union Sportive Fougères

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.7%
Win probability
Guingamp II
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.5%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.6%
21.6%
Win probability
Union Sportive Fougères
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Guingamp II
+23%
-36%
Union Sportive Fougères

ELO progression

Guingamp II
Union Sportive Fougères
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Guingamp II
Guingamp II
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 Jan. 2017
STA
Stade Briochin
2 - 0
Guingamp II
GUI
59%
23%
18%
33 42 9 0
14 Jan. 2017
GUI
Guingamp II
4 - 2
Stade Lavallois II
LAV
44%
23%
33%
32 33 1 +1
10 Dec. 2016
LAT
La Tour d'Auvergne
1 - 0
Guingamp II
GUI
35%
22%
43%
33 29 4 -1
03 Dec. 2016
LAN
Lannion
0 - 2
Guingamp II
GUI
34%
25%
42%
32 29 3 +1
26 Nov. 2016
GUI
Guingamp II
2 - 0
Dinan-Léhon
DIN
43%
24%
33%
28 32 4 +4

Matches

Union Sportive Fougères
Union Sportive Fougères
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Jan. 2017
USF
Union Sportive Fougères
2 - 2
USSA Vertou
USS
49%
23%
29%
31 33 2 0
21 Jan. 2017
USF
Union Sportive Fougères
0 - 1
La Tour d'Auvergne
LAT
61%
19%
20%
32 28 4 -1
14 Jan. 2017
RCL
RC La Flèche
2 - 2
Union Sportive Fougères
USF
27%
23%
50%
32 24 8 0
10 Dec. 2016
CHA
Change
0 - 1
Union Sportive Fougères
USF
33%
23%
44%
31 24 7 +1
26 Nov. 2016
USF
Union Sportive Fougères
2 - 2
Vannes
VAN
10%
18%
72%
31 55 24 0