Equatorial Guinea vs Tunisia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.3%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
12%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
12.5%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
26.7%
57.3%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
18.2%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.8%
0-2
13.2%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
17.7%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
8%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Equatorial Guinea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2023 |
BOT
2 - 3
EQG
25%
26%
49%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2023 |
EQG
2 - 0
BOT
50%
27%
23%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2022 |
EQG
2 - 2
TOG
41%
27%
32%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2022 |
EQG
0 - 0
RWA
51%
26%
23%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
CMR
2 - 0
EQG
64%
23%
13%
|
62 | 81 | 19 | -1 |
Matches
Tunisia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2023 |
LBY
0 - 1
TUN
18%
27%
55%
|
84 | 62 | 22 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2023 |
TUN
3 - 0
LBY
74%
17%
9%
|
83 | 62 | 21 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2022 |
TUN
1 - 0
FRA
9%
19%
72%
|
83 | 94 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
TUN
0 - 1
AUS
27%
25%
49%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2022 |
DEN
0 - 0
TUN
75%
17%
9%
|
83 | 91 | 8 | 0 |