Guerreros vs Socio Águila analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.1%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
24.7%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guerreros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2009 |
IND
3 - 1
GUE
43%
26%
31%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2009 |
GUE
0 - 0
CSL
55%
24%
21%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2008 |
TEC
1 - 0
GUE
47%
26%
27%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2008 |
GUE
0 - 0
AGU
53%
26%
21%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2008 |
DOR
1 - 2
GUE
58%
24%
18%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Socio Águila
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2009 |
SAG
2 - 1
ATL
44%
26%
31%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2009 |
MER
2 - 1
SAG
72%
18%
10%
|
53 | 65 | 12 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2008 |
SAG
1 - 4
DUR
44%
27%
29%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2008 |
QRO
0 - 1
SAG
76%
16%
8%
|
52 | 66 | 14 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2008 |
SAG
1 - 0
TIG
37%
29%
34%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | +1 |