Non League Div One Isthmian South Central Jor. 30

Guernsey vs Marlow FC analysis

Guernsey Marlow FC
22 ELO 25
10.2% Tilt 4.6%
11240º General ELO ranking 7628º
679º Country ELO ranking 369º
ELO win probability
35.5%
Guernsey
24.6%
Draw
40%
Marlow FC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.5%
Win probability
Guernsey
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.3%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.1%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
40%
Win probability
Marlow FC
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Guernsey
-22%
+19%
Marlow FC

ELO progression

Guernsey
Marlow FC
Whyteleafe
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Guernsey
Guernsey
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Feb. 2022
THA
Thatcham Town
0 - 3
Guernsey
GUE
50%
22%
28%
19 20 1 0
22 Feb. 2022
BIN
Binfield
1 - 1
Guernsey
GUE
58%
20%
22%
19 22 3 0
16 Feb. 2022
BED
Bedfont Sports
3 - 1
Guernsey
GUE
71%
17%
13%
19 30 11 0
12 Feb. 2022
NOR
Northwood
1 - 1
Guernsey
GUE
51%
22%
28%
19 20 1 0
09 Feb. 2022
STA
Staines Town
2 - 8
Guernsey
GUE
36%
22%
42%
18 14 4 +1

Matches

Marlow FC
Marlow FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Mar. 2022
MAR
Marlow FC
3 - 2
Bedfont Sports
BED
34%
25%
41%
25 30 5 0
26 Feb. 2022
MAR
Marlow FC
0 - 3
Chertsey Town
CHE
31%
24%
45%
27 32 5 -2
23 Feb. 2022
SCR
Sutton Common Rovers
1 - 1
Marlow FC
MAR
15%
20%
65%
27 14 13 0
12 Feb. 2022
MAR
Marlow FC
4 - 2
Staines Town
STA
72%
17%
11%
27 13 14 0
08 Feb. 2022
SOU
South Park FC
5 - 0
Marlow FC
MAR
26%
24%
50%
30 18 12 -3
X