Guatemala vs Honduras analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.4%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.4%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.2%
20%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20%
62.7%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.2%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.9%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.6%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.6%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guatemala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2003 |
SLV
0 - 2
GTM
37%
25%
38%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2003 |
GTM
5 - 0
NIC
83%
12%
5%
|
79 | 53 | 26 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2003 |
GTM
0 - 2
PAN
61%
21%
18%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2003 |
GTM
1 - 1
CRC
23%
24%
52%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2003 |
SLV
0 - 0
GTM
40%
27%
34%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Honduras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2003 |
CRC
1 - 0
HND
40%
23%
38%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2003 |
HND
1 - 1
PAN
76%
16%
9%
|
87 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2003 |
SLV
1 - 0
HND
11%
17%
73%
|
87 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2003 |
NIC
0 - 2
HND
3%
10%
87%
|
87 | 54 | 33 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2003 |
HND
1 - 3
ARG
20%
23%
57%
|
87 | 98 | 11 | 0 |