CONCACAF League of Nations Liga A round 2

Guatemala vs Costa Rica analysis

Guatemala Costa Rica
71 ELO 82
-2.4% Tilt -10.6%
1092º General ELO ranking 287º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
27.3%
Guatemala
25.2%
Draw
47.4%
Costa Rica

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.3%
Win probability
Guatemala
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.4%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.7%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
47.4%
Win probability
Costa Rica
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.4%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Guatemala
-7%
-7%
Costa Rica

ELO progression

Guatemala
Costa Rica
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Guatemala
Guatemala
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Sep. 2024
GTM
Guatemala
3 - 1
Martinique
MTQ
61%
21%
18%
70 62 8 0
02 Sep. 2024
URU
Uruguay
1 - 1
Guatemala
GTM
81%
13%
6%
70 92 22 0
28 Jul. 2024
GTM
Guatemala
0 - 1
El Salvador
SLV
60%
22%
18%
71 64 7 -1
15 Jun. 2024
GTM
Guatemala
1 - 4
Argentina
ARG
8%
19%
73%
71 96 25 0
08 Jun. 2024
VGB
British Virgin Islands
0 - 3
Guatemala
GTM
6%
13%
82%
71 12 59 0

Matches

Costa Rica
Costa Rica
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Sep. 2024
CRC
Costa Rica
3 - 0
Guadeloupe
GLP
74%
18%
8%
82 56 26 0
03 Jul. 2024
CRC
Costa Rica
2 - 1
Paraguay
PAR
42%
27%
32%
82 83 1 0
29 Jun. 2024
COL
Colombia
3 - 0
Costa Rica
CRC
72%
18%
10%
82 93 11 0
25 Jun. 2024
BRA
Brazil
0 - 0
Costa Rica
CRC
86%
11%
4%
82 96 14 0
09 Jun. 2024
GRD
Grenada
0 - 3
Costa Rica
CRC
10%
18%
72%
82 43 39 0