Guastatoya vs Municipal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
27%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
26%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
+55%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
11
6º
12º
10º
29
1º
9º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
29 | 30 |
1º
|
67.5% | |
|
2º
|
27 | 28 |
2º
|
50% | |
|
4º
|
25 | 26 |
3º
|
59% | |
|
3º
|
25 | 25 |
4º
|
47% | |
|
5º
|
22 | 25 |
5º
|
39% | |
|
6º
|
21 | 22 |
6º
|
22.5% | |
|
9º
|
19 | 22 |
7º
|
28% | |
|
7º
|
20 | 21 |
8º
|
24.5% | |
|
8º
|
20 | 21 |
9º
|
14.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
11 | 14 |
10º
|
42.5% | |
|
10º
|
12 | 12 |
11º
|
42.5% | |
|
12º
|
6 | 9 |
12º
|
96.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guastatoya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
ZAC
1 - 1
GUA
33%
29%
38%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
LEO
1 - 1
GUA
40%
28%
32%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
GUA
1 - 1
ACH
41%
26%
33%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
MIX
1 - 1
GUA
44%
29%
27%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
GUA
1 - 1
CHI
49%
28%
23%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Municipal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
MUN
3 - 0
MIX
56%
24%
20%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2024 |
MUN
4 - 3
XIN
52%
24%
24%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2024 |
COM
1 - 2
MUN
48%
27%
25%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
MUN
5 - 0
ZAC
63%
22%
16%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2024 |
MUN
2 - 1
ANT
50%
25%
25%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |