Guareña vs Racing Merida City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.4%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.5%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.5%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.8%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.5%
49.1%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
9%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
6%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
14.7%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+49%
-77%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guareña
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2022 |
CAB
0 - 0
GUA
53%
22%
25%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
GUA
0 - 2
HER
30%
24%
45%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
VAL
1 - 1
GUA
58%
21%
21%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
GUA
0 - 1
GIM
36%
23%
40%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
GUA
0 - 0
CAM
23%
23%
54%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Racing Merida City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
HER
3 - 1
RMC
56%
20%
24%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
RMC
1 - 2
GIM
59%
19%
22%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
RMC
2 - 1
QUI
24%
20%
57%
|
13 | 17 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
RMC
1 - 0
MON
79%
13%
8%
|
13 | 8 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
RMC
3 - 1
VEA
85%
10%
5%
|
13 | 5 | 8 | 0 |