Guaratinguetá vs Vitória analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.5%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.5%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.9%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.4%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
42.8%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaratinguetá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
PPE
0 - 0
GUA
61%
23%
17%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2011 |
GUA
0 - 0
CRI
45%
27%
29%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
GUA
2 - 3
POR
24%
26%
50%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2011 |
GOI
3 - 1
GUA
60%
23%
17%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2011 |
GUA
0 - 0
NAU
43%
27%
30%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Vitória
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2011 |
VIT
5 - 1
SAL
83%
13%
4%
|
73 | 50 | 23 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
BOA
1 - 2
VIT
26%
28%
46%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
VIT
3 - 2
NAU
58%
23%
18%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2011 |
POR
3 - 2
VIT
55%
24%
21%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
VIT
3 - 2
GOI
52%
25%
23%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | +1 |