Guarany de Sobral vs Potiguar Mossoró analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.6%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
26.3%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guarany de Sobral
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2017 |
RIV
1 - 2
GUA
57%
23%
20%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
GUA
2 - 2
TIR
35%
25%
39%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
GUA
0 - 4
HOR
30%
24%
46%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | -2 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
MAR
1 - 0
GUA
38%
25%
37%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2017 |
GUA
0 - 0
FOR
12%
20%
68%
|
43 | 66 | 23 | +1 |
Matches
Potiguar Mossoró
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2017 |
POT
0 - 0
MAR
67%
19%
14%
|
40 | 31 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2017 |
ABC
2 - 1
POT
73%
17%
10%
|
42 | 57 | 15 | -2 |
| 17 Apr. 2017 |
POT
0 - 4
ABC
21%
24%
55%
|
43 | 56 | 13 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2017 |
SAN
0 - 2
POT
31%
26%
43%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
POT
3 - 2
ABC
19%
24%
58%
|
41 | 56 | 15 | +1 |