Guaraní vs Sportivo Trinidense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.1%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
23.2%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
2º
10º
4º
38
2º
7º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
51 | 51 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
41 | 41 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
38 | 38 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
33 | 33 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 33 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
31 | 31 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 30 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
27 | 27 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
24 | 24 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
17 | 17 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
17 | 17 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
15 | 15 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CONMEBOL Libertadores
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2023 |
TAC
1 - 3
GUA
27%
28%
46%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
GUA
2 - 2
NAC
49%
25%
26%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
LQE
3 - 0
GUA
34%
28%
38%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2023 |
GUA
1 - 1
EME
49%
24%
27%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
GUA
1 - 0
RES
61%
22%
17%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Sportivo Trinidense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2023 |
SPT
2 - 0
AME
44%
26%
30%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
LIB
2 - 1
SPT
53%
24%
23%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
SPT
2 - 0
JLM
50%
26%
25%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2023 |
OLI
1 - 1
SPT
55%
23%
22%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
SPT
1 - 0
GUA
48%
26%
26%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | +1 |