Guarani de Palhoça vs Avaí analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.3%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.6%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.6%
21%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21%
63.7%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
11.6%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
19.6%
0-3
7.6%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
11.4%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.2%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guarani de Palhoça
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
MAR
1 - 0
GUA
55%
24%
21%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2015 |
MAR
1 - 1
GUA
56%
23%
20%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
GUA
2 - 0
INT
31%
24%
45%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | +2 |
| 26 Feb. 2015 |
GUA
2 - 2
AVA
14%
20%
66%
|
46 | 64 | 18 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
JEC
1 - 1
GUA
80%
14%
6%
|
45 | 70 | 25 | +1 |
Matches
Avaí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
AVA
2 - 0
HER
63%
22%
15%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2015 |
INT
2 - 0
AVA
19%
20%
61%
|
64 | 52 | 12 | -2 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
AVA
1 - 1
FFL
28%
26%
46%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2015 |
GUA
2 - 2
AVA
14%
20%
66%
|
64 | 46 | 18 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
MAR
3 - 4
AVA
23%
24%
53%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | +1 |