Guarani de Juazeiro vs Palmas FR analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
12%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
15.4%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guarani de Juazeiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2015 |
GUA
0 - 0
IMP
48%
25%
27%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2015 |
PAL
0 - 0
GUA
29%
27%
44%
|
42 | 32 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2015 |
RIV
0 - 0
GUA
57%
24%
19%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2015 |
GUA
1 - 1
SAN
63%
22%
15%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | -2 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
CEA
3 - 0
GUA
85%
11%
4%
|
45 | 70 | 25 | -1 |
Matches
Palmas FR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2015 |
SAN
1 - 0
PAL
42%
25%
33%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2015 |
PAL
0 - 0
GUA
29%
27%
44%
|
32 | 42 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2015 |
PAL
2 - 0
IMP
25%
25%
50%
|
30 | 42 | 12 | +2 |
| 12 Jul. 2015 |
RIV
1 - 1
PAL
74%
17%
9%
|
30 | 47 | 17 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2015 |
INT
0 - 1
PAL
57%
21%
22%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |