Guarani de Juazeiro vs Maracanã analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.6%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.1%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
19%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19%
12.4%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-35%
+52%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guarani de Juazeiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
ICA
2 - 2
GUA
51%
24%
25%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
FER
1 - 0
GUA
42%
25%
33%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2013 |
GUA
1 - 1
CRA
53%
23%
24%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
GUA
1 - 0
SAO
71%
18%
11%
|
50 | 35 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2013 |
MAR
0 - 1
GUA
25%
25%
51%
|
50 | 38 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Maracanã
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
FER
5 - 0
MAR
72%
17%
11%
|
36 | 48 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2013 |
HOR
1 - 0
MAR
74%
16%
10%
|
36 | 53 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
MAR
2 - 2
CRA
26%
25%
50%
|
36 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2013 |
TIR
2 - 0
MAR
73%
17%
10%
|
36 | 50 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2013 |
MAR
0 - 1
FER
30%
25%
46%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | -1 |