Guaraní vs Vasco da Gama analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.2%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.8%
1-0
9%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
37.1%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 1999 |
SPO
3 - 2
GUA
56%
24%
20%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1999 |
GUA
2 - 3
SAO
44%
25%
31%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 1999 |
PAR
2 - 1
GUA
39%
28%
33%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1999 |
SAN
1 - 2
GUA
72%
17%
11%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 1999 |
PPE
0 - 0
GUA
53%
25%
22%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Vasco da Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 1999 |
VAS
3 - 1
PPE
67%
20%
13%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1999 |
VAS
1 - 0
ATM
59%
22%
20%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1999 |
SAN
1 - 1
VAS
58%
21%
21%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1999 |
VAS
3 - 1
VIT
67%
19%
14%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 1999 |
GRE
0 - 0
VAS
49%
24%
27%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |