Guaraní vs Ponte Preta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.5%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
30.5%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2002 |
POR
2 - 0
GUA
47%
25%
27%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2002 |
GUA
1 - 2
SAO
35%
25%
41%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2002 |
PAL
4 - 2
GUA
59%
22%
20%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2002 |
COT
0 - 1
GUA
47%
26%
27%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2002 |
GUA
3 - 1
GAM
63%
22%
15%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Ponte Preta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2002 |
PPE
1 - 1
VIT
60%
21%
19%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2002 |
COR
1 - 0
PPE
59%
22%
19%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2002 |
BAH
2 - 1
PPE
51%
24%
25%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2002 |
PPE
3 - 2
GOI
61%
21%
18%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2002 |
ATP
0 - 1
PPE
55%
23%
22%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |