Guaraní vs Ponte Preta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.1%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.2%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.5%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.5%
12.4%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 1976 |
GUA
2 - 0
PAY
73%
15%
11%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1976 |
GUA
1 - 1
NAC
75%
15%
10%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1976 |
GUA
1 - 1
FOR
63%
20%
17%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1976 |
COR
0 - 0
GUA
62%
22%
16%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1976 |
CEA
0 - 0
GUA
31%
28%
42%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Ponte Preta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 1976 |
PPE
1 - 1
RIO
65%
22%
13%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1976 |
PPE
1 - 1
REM
50%
26%
24%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1976 |
FOR
3 - 1
PPE
65%
19%
17%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1976 |
PPE
2 - 0
CEA
55%
24%
21%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1976 |
PAY
0 - 0
PPE
47%
27%
26%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |