Guaraní vs Palmeiras analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.5%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.7%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.7%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
44.7%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2025 |
MIR
3 - 2
GUA
61%
22%
17%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2025 |
GUA
2 - 0
NOR
73%
18%
9%
|
79 | 59 | 20 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2025 |
SAO
1 - 0
GUA
65%
21%
14%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
INT
0 - 0
GUA
25%
26%
49%
|
80 | 64 | 16 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2025 |
GUA
2 - 0
BOT
53%
25%
23%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Palmeiras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2025 |
PAL
0 - 0
BRA
51%
23%
26%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
PAL
1 - 2
NOV
62%
21%
17%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2025 |
SAN
1 - 2
PAL
59%
22%
19%
|
87 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
NOR
1 - 1
PAL
6%
22%
72%
|
87 | 58 | 29 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2025 |
PAL
2 - 0
POR
86%
10%
4%
|
87 | 61 | 26 | 0 |