Série B Brazil round 11

Guaraní vs Ituano analysis

Guaraní Ituano
76 ELO 71
-2.6% Tilt -17%
482º General ELO ranking 861º
33º Country ELO ranking 40º
ELO win probability
56.5%
Guaraní
24.9%
Draw
18.6%
Ituano

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.5%
Win probability
Guaraní
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.9%
18.6%
Win probability
Ituano
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Guaraní
-3%
+1%
Ituano

Points and table prediction

Guaraní
Their league position
Ituano
CURR.POS.
20º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
17º
20º
20º
37
16º
20º
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
18º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Santos FC
68
68
100%
Mirassol
67
67
100%
Sport Recife
66
66
100%
Ceará
64
64
0%
Novorizontino
64
64
0%
Goiás EC
63
63
100%
América Mineiro
58
58
100%
Operário PR
58
58
100%
Vila Nova
55
55
100%
Avaí
10º
53
53
10º
100%
Amazonas FC
11º
52
52
11º
100%
Paysandu
13º
50
50
12º
100%
Coritiba
12º
50
50
13º
100%
Botafogo SP
14º
45
45
14º
100%
Chapecoense
15º
44
44
15º
100%
CRB
16º
43
43
16º
100%
Ponte Preta
17º
38
38
17º
100%
Ituano
18º
37
37
18º
100%
Brusque
19º
36
36
19º
100%
Guaraní
20º
33
33
20º
100%
Expected probabilities
Guaraní
Ituano
Promotion
0% 0%
Mid-table
0% 0%
Relegation
100% 100%

ELO progression

Guaraní
Ituano
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Guaraní
Guaraní
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 Jun. 2024
AVA
Avaí
3 - 2
Guaraní
GUA
49%
27%
25%
77 76 1 0
08 Jun. 2024
GUA
Guaraní
0 - 1
Operário PR
OPE
57%
25%
18%
77 71 6 0
05 Jun. 2024
MIR
Mirassol
3 - 0
Guaraní
GUA
53%
25%
22%
77 78 1 0
26 May. 2024
GUA
Guaraní
0 - 0
Paysandu
PAY
59%
24%
17%
77 69 8 0
21 May. 2024
GUA
Guaraní
1 - 2
América Mineiro
AMF
28%
25%
46%
78 86 8 -1

Matches

Ituano
Ituano
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 Jun. 2024
ITU
Ituano
3 - 5
Paysandu
PAY
42%
28%
30%
71 73 2 0
08 Jun. 2024
COT
Coritiba
4 - 2
Ituano
ITU
62%
23%
15%
71 80 9 0
02 Jun. 2024
ITU
Ituano
0 - 1
Avaí
AVA
38%
28%
34%
72 76 4 -1
26 May. 2024
ITU
Ituano
2 - 0
Ponte Preta
PPE
41%
29%
30%
70 75 5 +2
19 May. 2024
MIR
Mirassol
2 - 0
Ituano
ITU
64%
22%
14%
71 78 7 -1