Guaraní vs CRB analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.4%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.7%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.1%
9.5%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 1973 |
AMF
1 - 1
GUA
52%
24%
24%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1973 |
GUA
1 - 1
BOT
36%
25%
39%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 1973 |
GUA
2 - 2
FOR
58%
23%
19%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1973 |
CRZ
1 - 1
GUA
69%
18%
13%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1973 |
GUA
1 - 0
MOT
75%
16%
9%
|
73 | 58 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
CRB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 1973 |
CRB
1 - 3
FOR
40%
27%
32%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1973 |
CRB
0 - 3
SPO
40%
27%
34%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 1973 |
CRB
0 - 3
COR
23%
27%
50%
|
62 | 83 | 21 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1973 |
SET
1 - 1
CRB
74%
17%
9%
|
62 | 79 | 17 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1973 |
CRB
3 - 2
PAY
46%
25%
29%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | +1 |