Guaraní vs Coritiba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.2%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.9%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.2%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
40.6%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 2019 |
ATL
1 - 0
GUA
66%
21%
13%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2019 |
GUA
1 - 2
BRA
57%
25%
18%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 May. 2019 |
CRI
1 - 0
GUA
39%
29%
32%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2019 |
PAR
0 - 0
GUA
47%
28%
26%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2019 |
GUA
3 - 2
VIT
39%
27%
34%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Coritiba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 2019 |
COT
2 - 3
PAR
50%
28%
22%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2019 |
AMF
1 - 1
COT
40%
27%
33%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2019 |
COT
2 - 1
CUI
48%
28%
24%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2019 |
CRB
1 - 0
COT
31%
27%
42%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2019 |
COT
0 - 0
LON
42%
30%
29%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |