Guaraní vs Catanduvense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.3%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
18%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
AGU
1 - 0
GUA
42%
25%
34%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
OES
1 - 1
GUA
54%
25%
21%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2015 |
GUA
0 - 2
MAT
57%
22%
20%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2015 |
GUA
3 - 1
MIR
42%
26%
32%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2015 |
PAU
1 - 2
GUA
30%
28%
42%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Catanduvense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
CAT
2 - 3
63%
22%
16%
|
51 | 39 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
MIR
2 - 1
CAT
60%
22%
18%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2015 |
CAT
1 - 1
MON
39%
27%
34%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
CAT
0 - 1
NOV
38%
24%
38%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2015 |
BAT
2 - 2
CAT
40%
27%
33%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |